I gave my thoughts yesterday on how the Deep State is closing in on Donald Trump, forcing him either to comply with their demands or be destroyed. Within minutes of writing that piece came the news that he had fired the Director of the FBI, James Comey. It took a while for me to process the impact that this will have, but now that I have, I believe that his actions mark the beginning of the end of what will turn out to be a very short-lived presidency. Here’s why.
As I mentioned yesterday, many of his supporters were dismayed when he appeared to have capitulated to the demands of the neocon death-cult by attacking Syria without rhyme or reason, when the military that he commands dropped an enormous bomb on Afghanistan just for show, and when he needlessly ramped up tensions on the Korean peninsula. Had he betrayed them, or was he just playing 10D chess (or some other similarly silly explanation that some Trump fans like to kid themselves with)?
My own view is that he was simply attempting to appease the Deep State, believing that by doing their bidding for a time, it would persuade them to back off the whole idiotic Trump / Russia frenzy. In the immediate aftermath of his hissy fit over Syria, that frenzy did indeed die down a little, but as Mr Trump seemed to lose interest in Syria, lo and behold, the Trump / Russia thing started to go ballistic again.
As an aside, for those who have managed to retain their full set of marbles in these absurd times, here’s how I would describe the Trump / Russia thing.
“It’s like watching the village idiot looking for a non-existent needle in an enormous haystack attempting to convince us it really is there by showing us pictures of needles.”
And now the Comey firing. How have Trump’s fans reacted? From what I’ve seen on social media, they have allowed their delight in seeing Mr Comey go to cloud their judgement as to what this really means. They see it as Trump somehow getting back on track with his promise to drain the swamp. That’s sort of understandable, given that Mr Comey was indeed a Swamp Dweller. Not only that, but he was embarrassingly incompetent. As the man charged with investigating the whole “Russia stole our election” cretinism, you’d at least expect him to have had some knowledge of the country he was dealing with. But no.
During a Senate hearing back in March, he was asked by Rep. Jackie Speier if he knew anything about Gazprom. His answer? “I don’t”. Rep. Speier rather hesitatingly pointed out that it’s an oil company. Which it is not. It owns Gazpromneft, which is an oil company, but Gazprom is a gas company. Russia’s biggest gas company in fact. Russia’s biggest company in fact. The world’s biggest gas company in fact. Even I knew that. But the FBI Director in charge with investigating alleged Russian hacking and links to the Trump team didn’t. In fact, it sounded like he’d never heard of the name before.
Many Trump fans have also reacted by mocking the Democrats who were calling for Mr Comey’s head just a while back, and who are now reacting with outrage. What hypocrites and all that. Yes, what hypocrites, and yes they deserve to me mocked for it. But what does that mean in the murky, swampy waters of the Deep State? Nothing whatsoever. They don’t care whether their faux outrage over Comey is unprincipled and hypocritical. They’ll paper over it and ignore it, just like they always do. For pity’s sake have we learned nothing over the past few years. Let me spell it out in capitals:
THESE PEOPLE AND THEIR FRIENDS IN THE MEDIA CONTROL THE NARRATIVE. AND WHETHER TRUMP THOUGHT HE WAS DRAINING THE SWAMP, OR GETTING RID OF AN INCOMPETENT, HE HAS JUST GIVEN THE DEEP STATE ALL THE AMMUNITION IT NEEDS TO FINISH HIM OFF.
Think about it. Even if, like me, you think the whole Trump / Russia frenzy is a fake and a fraud and a hoax, by firing the man charged with investigating it, he has just handed the golden opportunity of a lifetime to those who want to bring him down. And they’re going for it, already asking whether this is Trump’s Watergate. They won’t let up. They scent blood. And so far from this being the beginning of Trump draining the swamp, it is the beginning of the end of the Trump presidency.
In addition to all of that, there are three things that convince me Trump will not be President by the end of the year:
- He has no real support base in Washington DC. Outside his inner circle, there are few who would support him come what may, even on the Republican side
- Talking of his inner circle, he has made a number of foolish errors, including surrounding himself with neocon crazies like HR McMaster. At the same time, he has proved to be a fair-weather friend to those who at some point really did support him (eg. Steve Bannon). Put that together and you have a man who can trust almost nobody, and a man whom almost nobody can trust
- He is completely out of his depth, not to mention being utterly impulsive. If anyone is ever to drain the swamp, they will not shout about it before they are elected, but rather just quietly get on and do it, keeping — as the saying goes — “their friends close and their enemies even closer”. Trump has repeatedly proved that he is not remotely qualified for the huge task of swamp draining, but is simply a rash braggart who thought he could run the Whitehouse like a business, and Tweet his way out of every problem.
And so as an armchair spectator, sick to death of the whole business and extremely nervous about what will come next (including the prospect of great civil unrest and/or an avowed neocon in charge), I await the end of the Trump presidency, which I think will most likely come before the end of the year.